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Sweden
Total
+
95%
Energy
70%
+
Transport
-98%
AVIATION
-60%
INDUSTRY
80%
+
Sweden
Total
+
95%
Energy
70%
+
Transport
-98%
AVIATION
-60%
INDUSTRY
80%
+
Sweden
Total
+
95%
Energy
70%
+
Transport
-98%
AVIATION
-60%
INDUSTRY
80%
+
About
Forecasting our collective ability to reach the 2030 reduction targets needs our devoted attention.
The 2030 Forecast is the world's first app allowing individuals to easily understand and track their own country’s carbon emissions — week by week. This means knowing whether or not their country is doing their share of the work to secure a safe and humanly livable planet for all. In 2015, 197 countries signed the Paris Agreement, stating that we need to cut our emissions in half by the year 2030. That’s now seven years away. For individuals in all countries, this horizon requires us to hold corporations accountable to emissions and governments accountable to investments in a national economy decoupled from fossil fuels. Having near real-time satellite data at our fingertips today empowers us with the intel necessary to demand responsibility for a net zero tomorrow. Think of it as a democratization of knowledge that already should belong to the many. Powered by satellite image analysis from Kayrros and environmental footprint calculations by Doconomy.
About
Forecasting our collective ability to reach the 2030 reduction targets needs our devoted attention.
Sweden
Period:
24-30 April 2023
Total emissions:
760856 T CO2e
+
%
Energy
+
22.9%
Aviation
+
66.5%
Transport
-7.7%
Industry
+
50.5%
2030 Target
Sweden
Period:
24-30 April 2023
Total emissions:
760856 T CO2e
+
%
Energy
+
22.9%
Aviation
+
66.5%
Transport
-7.7%
Industry
+
50.5%
2030 Target
Featured in
Featured in
Challenge
The challenge is that the severity of our current climate crisis is tough to understand. So much so that many countries don’t even make the effort. Only 3.6% of countries globally are using satellites to track their own greenhouse gas emissions in near-real time, instead relying on outdated and inaccurate data. We’re on a mission to change that. The IPCC report published in March 2023 makes it unequivocally clear that we humans have caused and continue to cause global warming. Through unsustainable energy use, unsustainable land use, unsustainable lifestyles, and unsustainable consumption and production. We are destroying the planet we get to live on, and our own kind with it. Vulnerable communities who have historically contributed the least to current climate change are disproportionately affected, and the inverse is true for leading polluters in the Western World. The 2030 Forecast holds the capacity to single out which countries are meeting their 2030 reduction targets, and which ones aren’t.
How It Works
The 2030 Forecast indicates a country’s total carbon emissions every week across four categories: Domestic Industry, Domestic Aviation, Energy Consumption, and Ground Transport. It compares that country’s weekly carbon emissions against the same country’s 2030 reduction targets, and it shows whether or not that country has a carbon debt. That is, the discrepancy between where the country’s current emissions are and where its current emissions should be, to be on track towards reducing its emissions by 55% in 2030.
Partner With Us
Choose transparency. Protect our planet. The 2030 Forecast invites all companies and governments to get on board the mission of democratizing climate literacy. We are committed to allowing individuals across all countries — not just people in Sweden and France – to track their country’s emissions, week by week. If you want to sponsor the unlocking of your country, reach out to the 2030 Forecast team. Link in footer. We have the possibility to triangulate satellite imagery and environmental footprint calculations almost everywhere around the world, and with it, the possibility to show your country’s ability to meet its 2030 targets.
Method
The 2030 Forecast combines environmental footprint data from Doconomy with greenhouse gas emissions data based on satellite image analysis and additional data sources from Kayrros. Compared to officially reported data, this approach offers the benefit of an increased frequency in the availability of data updates – within days as opposed to months or years – and with a higher level of accuracy. We are building on the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, released in March 2023.
Based on emissions generated between May 2021 and April 2022, we have set a 55% reduction target for the end of 2030. Yearly reduction targets are set linearly, and weekly targets are adjusted seasonally. We assume constant decreases from one year to another, but we distribute these across the year, depending on the specifics of each category. For example, power plant emissions strongly increase in the cold season while ground transport produces a higher footprint during the summer. To monitor continuous progress, we compare new data to the set targets on a weekly basis. We then compare new data to these targets on a weekly basis, to monitor progress. When weekly targets are missed, the excess emissions accumulate as a “carbon debt”. This debt increases the burden on achieving future targets. Conversely, when weekly emissions totals fall below weekly targets, this leads to a “carbon credit”, reducing the accrued carbon debt and decreasing the burden of achieving future targets. Our methodology is designed to make the most of available data and improve as more data points become available and is guided by the belief that everyone on this planet can make a contribution to shaping our climate future.
Doconomy
Doconomy, founded in Sweden in 2018, is a world-leading provider of applied impact solutions. Doconomy wants to future-proof life on planet Earth by empowering individuals and corporations to take responsibility for their environmental footprint, enabling a sustainable lifestyle for all. The company firmly believes that the climate crisis can only be solved as a collective with climate literacy at its core. Doconomy provides to over 75 clients in 25 different markets, is a partner of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Mastercard, S&P Trucost, the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Mitsui, and Parley for the Oceans, and has won multiple Grand Prix awards at Cannes Lions for its Åland Index and other innovations.
In 2022, Doconomy was named the 7th most innovative company by Fast Company, was included in Wired’s top 100 startups in the world, and raised $19 million of equity capital in a funding round led by CommerzVentures. Other investors include Citi Ventures, Ingka Investments, Mastercard and Ålandsbanken.
Kayrros
Kayrros is a global environmental intelligence company and world leader in earth and asset observation technology. Kayrros collects data from satellite imagery and uses AI and geoanalytics technology to provide insights that help companies, investors and regulators reduce their emissions, protect people and assets from extreme weather events and accelerate the transition to a lower carbon economy.
Challenge
The challenge is that the severity of our current climate crisis is tough to understand. So much so that many countries don’t even make the effort. Only 3.6% of countries globally are using satellites to track their own greenhouse gas emissions in near-real time, instead relying on outdated and inaccurate data. We’re on a mission to change that. The IPCC report published in March 2023 makes it unequivocally clear that we humans have caused and continue to cause global warming. Through unsustainable energy use, unsustainable land use, unsustainable lifestyles, and unsustainable consumption and production. We are destroying the planet we get to live on, and our own kind with it. Vulnerable communities who have historically contributed the least to current climate change are disproportionately affected, and the inverse is true for leading polluters in the Western World. The 2030 Forecast holds the capacity to single out which countries are meeting their 2030 reduction targets, and which ones aren’t.
We analyze greenhouse gas emissions based on satellite images and other data sources provided by our partner, Kayrros. Compared to officially reported data, this approach offers the benefit of an increased frequency in the availability of data updates – within days as opposed to months. The number of greenhouse gas emissions tracking sources and locations, and the accessibility to current and reliable data, has to increase to generate the awareness needed, in order for governments and companies to prioritize required decarbonization strategies on a global scale. Aggressive decarbonization strategies will be essential to meeting the ambitious emissions reduction targets required, to reach net zero by 2050.
How It Works
The 2030 Forecast indicates a country’s total carbon emissions every week across four categories: Domestic Industry, Domestic Aviation, Energy Consumption, and Ground Transport. It compares that country’s weekly carbon emissions against the same country’s 2030 reduction targets, and it shows whether or not that country has a carbon debt. That is, the discrepancy between where the country’s current emissions are and where its current emissions should be, to be on track towards reducing its emissions by 55% in 2030.
Partner With Us
Choose transparency. Protect our planet. The 2030 Forecast invites all companies and governments to get on board the mission of democratizing climate literacy. We are committed to allowing individuals across all countries — not just people in Sweden and France – to track their country’s emissions, week by week. If you want to sponsor the unlocking of your country, reach out to the 2030 Forecast team. Link in footer. We have the possibility to triangulate satellite imagery and environmental footprint calculations almost everywhere around the world, and with it, the possibility to show your country’s ability to meet its 2030 targets.
Method
The 2030 Forecast combines environmental footprint data from Doconomy with greenhouse gas emissions data based on satellite image analysis and additional data sources from Kayrros. Compared to officially reported data, this approach offers the benefit of an increased frequency in the availability of data updates – within days as opposed to months or years – and with a higher level of accuracy. We are building on the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, released in March 2023.
Based on emissions generated between May 2021 and April 2022, we have set a 55% reduction target for the end of 2030. Yearly reduction targets are set linearly, and weekly targets are adjusted seasonally. We assume constant decreases from one year to another, but we distribute these across the year, depending on the specifics of each category. For example, power plant emissions strongly increase in the cold season while ground transport produces a higher footprint during the summer. To monitor continuous progress, we compare new data to the set targets on a weekly basis. We then compare new data to these targets on a weekly basis, to monitor progress. When weekly targets are missed, the excess emissions accumulate as a “carbon debt”. This debt increases the burden on achieving future targets. Conversely, when weekly emissions totals fall below weekly targets, this leads to a “carbon credit”, reducing the accrued carbon debt and decreasing the burden of achieving future targets. Our methodology is designed to make the most of available data and improve as more data points become available and is guided by the belief that everyone on this planet can make a contribution to shaping our climate future.
Doconomy
Doconomy, founded in Sweden in 2018, is a world-leading provider of applied impact solutions. Doconomy wants to future-proof life on planet Earth by empowering individuals and corporations to take responsibility for their environmental footprint, enabling a sustainable lifestyle for all. The company firmly believes that the climate crisis can only be solved as a collective with climate literacy at its core. Doconomy provides to over 75 clients in 25 different markets, is a partner of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), Mastercard, S&P Trucost, the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), Mitsui, and Parley for the Oceans, and has won multiple Grand Prix awards at Cannes Lions for its Åland Index and other innovations.
In 2022, Doconomy was named the 7th most innovative company by Fast Company, was included in Wired’s top 100 startups in the world, and raised $19 million of equity capital in a funding round led by CommerzVentures. Other investors include Citi Ventures, Ingka Investments, Mastercard and Ålandsbanken.
Kayrros
Kayrros is a global environmental intelligence company and world leader in earth and asset observation technology. Kayrros collects data from satellite imagery and uses AI and geoanalytics technology to provide insights that help companies, investors and regulators reduce their emissions, protect people and assets from extreme weather events and accelerate the transition to a lower carbon economy.